Dolphins vs. Jets: Black Friday Picks & Insights

Dolphins vs. Jets: Black Friday Picks & Insights

In an anticipated Black Friday matchup, the Miami Dolphins are set to face the struggling New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins, with a 7-3 record, aim to extend their dominance over teams with losing records, boasting a 12-5 record against such opponents since Week 3 of the 2022 season. On the other hand, the Jets (4-6) enter the game on a downward trend and will feature a new quarterback, Tim Boyle, replacing Zach Wilson.

Recent performances indicate that the Dolphins are in better form, having secured a 20-13 victory against the Raiders in their previous game. In contrast, the Jets suffered their third consecutive loss, falling 32-6 to the Bills. The upcoming clash is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET.

As per the latest odds, the Dolphins are favored by 9.5 points, with an over/under of 40.5 points for the total score. The money line reflects Miami as -484 favorites, while the Jets stand at +363. Notably, the Dolphins are 6-7-1 against the spread (ATS) on the road under coach Mike McDaniel since 2022, while the Jets hold a 10-12 ATS record as the home team under Robert Salah since 2021.

The SportsLine model, renowned for its accurate NFL predictions, has stimulated the Dolphins vs. Jets matchup 10,000 times. The model, on an impressive 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks since the 2017 season, is also on a 29-18 roll since Week 7 of the previous season. It has consistently ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch and outperformed CBS Sports Football Pick’em players.

Analyzing the game, the model provides insights into why the Dolphins could cover the spread. Despite struggles against winning teams, the Jets’ disarray, with a vulnerable offense and a fourth-ranked defense, plays into Miami’s favor. The Dolphins lead the league in points per game (30.5) and boast a formidable defense, ranking in the top 15 in both passing and rushing yards allowed.

However, the Jets, as underdogs, have the potential to cover, with notable victories against the Bills and the only loss handed to the Eagles so far. Their strength lies in a defense that is fourth in yards allowed per play (4.9) and fifth against the pass (178.5 yards per game). Running back Breece Hall and key receivers provide offensive firepower, while cornerback Sauce Gardner aims to keep Dolphins’ receiver Tyreek Hill in check.

SportsLine’s model leans towards the under for the total points, projecting 40 combined points. Additionally, it suggests that one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. For a detailed analysis and the model’s NFL picks, enthusiasts can head to SportsLine for comprehensive coverage of the Dolphins vs. Jets showdown.